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Sanders undefeated today — Clinton stumbles hard

4/14/2016

1 Comment

 

Highlights:

April 14: CBS and Fox release new matchups.
• Sanders undefeated 6-0 against GOP.
• Sanders outperforms Clinton by nearly 10 points (avg). 
• Clinton weak: loses twice to Kasich, virtually ties with Cruz.
Data source: RealClearPolitics.com

Details:

April 14, 2016 — In the CBS News national voter survey released today, Clinton holds a 6-point edge over Sanders for the Democratic nomination. However, this poll's margin of error is... 6 points.

A similar survey by Fox News, also released today, shows Clinton in a statistical dead heat with Sanders. She edges him by 2 points — but the margin of error is 4.5 points.

From there, the news gets worse for Clinton.

In a related poll released the same day, CBS News queried voters about November matchups.
• Against Trump, Sanders outperformed Clinton by 7 points.
• Against Cruz, Sanders performed 9 points better than Clinton.
• Against Kasich, Sanders again outperformed Clinton, this time by 11 points.

That's not the whole story. In one of the Cruz matchups, Clinton edged out God's gift to Texas Christians by only 3 points, same as this survey's margin of error. It means Clinton  managed only a virtual dead heat against Cruz.

Sanders, however, trounced Cruz in this poll by 12 points.

In the same poll, Clinton LOSES to Kasich by 6 points. Sanders beats him by 5 points.

FOX NEWS — POLL RELEASED 4/14/16

Fox's matchups released today paint a similar picture — except here, Clinton loses to Kasich by 9 points. (Sanders again beats him.)

Clinton edges Cruz by just 1 point. Margin of error? 3 points. Another statistical tie for Clinton.

WHAT IT MEANS

Danger for Dems: the Clinton electability meme is a fantasy Democrats can no longer afford. Sanders consistently proves himself the strongest candidate against all GOP contenders.  Meanwhile dozens of March-April matchups vs the GOP prove Clinton to be a liability.

If primary voters are foolhardy enough to nominate Clinton, Democrats could be in serious trouble against Cruz or Kasich in November.

Conclusion: Sanders is by far the only safe bet against the GOP.

Well-meaning primary voters can breathe a sigh of relief: they don't have to hold their nose and vote for Clinton. They can vote for Sanders with a clear conscience — secure in knowing he is not only the best candidate, but the most electable one as well.


It makes today a good day for voters of conscience, for Sanders, and for America.
1 Comment
Ergo Sum
4/30/2016 04:38:31 am

You seem to forget that people's votes mean little in the primary election. Super delegates, the most influential members of the respective parties, make the decision about who will present their parties in November. The Clintons worked on the super delegates and as such, the democratic primary was over before it started.

The republicans did the same, but there's a fly in the sup, named Trump. He may actually get their nomination, in which case November will be interesting. Both Sanders and Trump are anti-establishment, at least on the surface, albeit different ways.

Hillary vs Trump in November may result in Trump easily beating Hillary. Most of the Sanders followers despise Hillary and they'll either stay away from election, or will vote for Trump. Some will vote for Hillary, but may not be a substantial number. Couple this with the record number of people voting in the republican primaries for Trump and there you have it. Hillary will loose.

Disclaimer: I did vote in the democratic primary for Sanders. Given the choice between Hillary and Trump in November, my vote goes to Trump.

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